http://euler.atmos.colostate.edu/~vigh/g...
Click on frames 1-5 of the Atlantic basin to see the disturbance you are focusing on. I looked at the GFS ensemble...only one member has the track curving along the Atlantic coast. So there is still time for the model to change, and since there is only one member taking it that direction I don't think it's worth the worry.
If it were to happen, NYC would have to do just like they do down south...put up the hurricane shutters and evacuate. Hopefully the politicians would have a good handle on it.well if i remember right the original model was calling for it to hit somewhere between southern texas to maine so if thats an indication i wouldnt worry because these models are a little slow if you know what i meanNope...don't believe it.the gfs model will be all over the place for the next few days. a few days ago it had a similar storm on it. yesterday it had that same storm hitting texas. lets wait until 5 days before the storm because then the model will give us a better idea of a good track.Highly unlikely, I think. Upper troughs embedded in a rather energetic westerly flow across southern Canada into the maritimes would likely act to turn the hurricane northeast and out to sea if it was to get that far north.Nope don't believe any of it. We can predict the chances of something happening but we can't say that for sure a hurricane will hit and where it will hit and when. And the chances of a hurricane hitting NYC are very very slim.don't be silly
see link below
it only has a 25 % chance of being a category one in 72 hoursNo. I know exactly what u are referring to. Tropical Depression which will be Tropical Storm Dean and eventually a major hurricane will most likely affect the islands including Puerto Rico and somewhere near or hit Florida east or gulf coast. The water is NYC is too cold for any kind of tropical system to sustain it's self.